MC:EURONEXT PARISLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$54.52
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Moelis & Company trades at $54.52, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $124.3, implying a potential upside of roughly 47% and an undervalued position. The stock is in oversold territory with an RSI of 26 and sits just above the identified support level of $52, while volume is trending higher, suggesting a possible short‑term bounce.
Fundamentally, the firm delivers strong profitability—ROE of 44.8% and revenue growth of 11.2%—and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.6%, albeit with a high payout ratio of 88%. The combination of solid earnings, a respectable dividend, and a sizable valuation gap supports a buy case for medium‑term investors, though elevated beta (1.9) and sector cyclicality warrant caution for long‑term holders.
Fundamentally, the firm delivers strong profitability—ROE of 44.8% and revenue growth of 11.2%—and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.6%, albeit with a high payout ratio of 88%. The combination of solid earnings, a respectable dividend, and a sizable valuation gap supports a buy case for medium‑term investors, though elevated beta (1.9) and sector cyclicality warrant caution for long‑term holders.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price slightly above key support at $52
- Increasing volume suggesting buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF valuation showing ~47% upside
- Strong ROE and double‑digit revenue growth
- Attractive dividend yield despite high payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High beta and sector cyclicality increase volatility
- Sustainable cash generation but elevated payout ratio
- Exposure to global capital‑markets regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.20%
Profit Margin15.36%
P/E Ratio18.5
ROE44.77%
ROA16.64%
Debt/Equity39.27
P/B Ratio7.0
Op. Cash Flow$576.3M
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI26.7
Support$52.00
Resistance$74.32
MA 20$62.73
MA 50$69.09
MA 200$67.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$124.32
Target Price$80.00
Upside/Downside46.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.46
Volatility42.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.